tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24366125.post5962050480991458827..comments2022-03-29T16:20:04.012+00:00Comments on Ambiguity Advantage: Strategic Planning: How far out? Are you serious???Platothefishhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01991183238951380109noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24366125.post-24466861653091322082011-01-23T12:00:52.518+00:002011-01-23T12:00:52.518+00:00Thanks for this Lanny.
1. Firstly read the book! ...Thanks for this Lanny. <br />1. Firstly read the book! Sorry not very helpful. Yes I would of course agree that that the ambiguity continuum (P.28 The Ambiguity Advantage) runs from certainty to Chaos. However total certainty (predicable) is actually a theoretic point on the continuum and doesn't exist in reality. Nothing is certain. Just because it happens doesn't mean it's certain. <br />2. This is what I am saying and makes the point I was. "the only thing we can ever be sure about with a plan is that reality isn't going to turn out that way." therefore planning 3-5 years has it's use but and it's a big but and was kind of the point I was making. <br />Don't expect your plan to turn out like that. Plan certainly but such long term plans can only ever be an aspirational goal. <br />Unfortunately a number of organisations I get brought into do actually see it as "an immutable roadmap" and worse align most of their resources and effort into achieving this. In effect trying to force their reality onto the world. <br />So I think, (I would wouldn't I?) I incorporated those two important points. And it actually sounds like we are saying the same thing.Platothefishhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01991183238951380109noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24366125.post-32167220643301380982010-12-04T22:12:16.233+00:002010-12-04T22:12:16.233+00:00the notion that all is ambiguity and therefor plan...the notion that all is ambiguity and therefor planning 3-5 years out isn't valuable misses two important points: 1) the ambiguity spectrum runs from the predictable to the chaotic. there are many dimensions of the business which are entirely predictable and therefor amenable to planning 2) the only thing we can ever be sure about with a plan is that reality isn't going to turn out that way. <br /><br />If conceive of a plan as an immutable roadmap, then the planning process if flawed. planning is a healthy expression of human intentionality. whether we use it as a set of blinders so we can ignore the changing reality around us or use it as an ordering principle around which we design our activities and a way to keep our over the horizon radar on is up to us.lanny goodmanhttp://www.lannygoodman.comnoreply@blogger.com