Ambiguity Advantage

Thoughts, research and ideas about all things concerning ambiguity, risk, uncertainty, chaos and even certainty as it appertains to leadership, management and people's lives.

Tuesday, April 01, 2008

The Probability Fallacy or Error

Posted by Platothefish at 16:39
Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest

No comments:

Post a Comment

Newer Post Older Post Home
View mobile version
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Get updates direct to your email

To get the blog sent directly to your email simply enter your email address here:

Subscribe Now

Subscribe in a reader

Worth a look

  • Centre i
  • Free Organisational Change Guides
  • The Book
  • The Emotional Resilience Blog

About Me

My photo
Platothefish
David Wilkinson runs a successful consultancy. He is an author and expert on helping people and organisations navigate and profit from ambiguity. He is an active researcher and academic, an expert facilitator and coach and has authored a number of papers and books. He currently works for a number of governments,universities, companies and agencies around the world in areas of leadership, organisational change, thinking development, problem solving and decision making, creativity, and how to gain the advantage from ambiguity.
View my complete profile

My Headlines

Blog Archive

  • ►  2006 (9)
    • ►  March (3)
    • ►  April (4)
    • ►  May (2)
  • ►  2007 (13)
    • ►  January (2)
    • ►  February (4)
    • ►  March (1)
    • ►  December (6)
  • ▼  2008 (70)
    • ►  January (16)
    • ►  February (16)
    • ►  March (14)
    • ▼  April (11)
      • The Probability Fallacy or Error
      • Emotional Resilience, Decisions and making good Ju...
      • Decision Making Error # 3 The Bias Bias
      • Making great decisions
      • Decision making errors 4 - The Majority Fallacy
      • Global Value Chains and global decision making - p...
      • T5 - some departures on time...
      • Recruiting, promotions and other nonsense.
      • Too busy to lead?
      • Too busy to lead II - leading as part of a system
      • Too busy to lead III - The draw of certainty & amb...
    • ►  May (2)
    • ►  June (4)
    • ►  July (3)
    • ►  December (4)
  • ►  2009 (1)
    • ►  July (1)
  • ►  2010 (5)
    • ►  June (2)
    • ►  October (1)
    • ►  November (2)
  • ►  2011 (6)
    • ►  January (4)
    • ►  August (2)
  • ►  2012 (9)
    • ►  March (3)
    • ►  April (5)
    • ►  September (1)
  • ►  2013 (1)
    • ►  May (1)
Blogged Blog Directory

Summary Cloud

Summary Cloud
Simple theme. Theme images by gaffera. Powered by Blogger.